empty
 
 
04.07.2022 11:00 AM
Bitcoin Ends Worst Fiscal Quarter in 11 Years: Should We Expect Significant Changes in Price?

Then Bitcoin fell by 67%. Given the maturation of the market and a significant decrease in the level of volatility, the current price drop looks alarming. The markets are facing a crisis commensurate with 2008, which directly affects the purchasing power of investors.

This image is no longer relevant

The decrease and complication of access to liquidity is directly reflected in the Bitcoin price chart. The cryptocurrency made a local corrective pullback to the level of $22k, after which it began to decline. Bitcoin's upward spurt was largely made possible by the increased buying activity of the SPX stock index.

This image is no longer relevant

The high level of correlation allowed BTC to make a local breakthrough, which ended with a subsequent decline. It is important to emphasize that, despite the stronger positions, the bears also have nothing to show for further price decline. This indicates that the market has reached a certain parity: sales have fallen to the usual lows, and massive accumulation is taking place in a passive mode and does not affect the price movement.

This image is no longer relevant

On the 4-hour chart, we can see that it has been more than two weeks since an inverted head and shoulders formed with an upside potential to $27k. The absence of any impulses for the implementation of this pattern indicates a decrease in trading activity. The price of Bitcoin has become characterized by impulsive attempts to reach certain levels, but the general situation does not make it possible to realize such goals. The main technical indicators continue to move flat without prerequisites for the formation of any impulse. This indicates the beginning of the consolidation that triggered the Bitcoin lull.

This image is no longer relevant

Despite the lull, it can most likely be called temporary. After the end of the second quarter, a reporting period will follow, which can be an important fundamental reason for a significant price change. The 3AC fund filed for bankruptcy, realizing that quarterly reporting could exacerbate the situation, both for the company and for the market. Singapore-based crypto lending and trading platform Vauld also halted withdrawals due to the difficult financial situation in the market.

The period of publication of quarterly reports can cause serious damage to the reputation of Bitcoin. There are many rumors in the market about the hidden insolvency of individual companies and platforms. All this can provoke a panic in the market, which will lead to another serious sale. A similar situation is observed in the mining market, where there is a problem with servicing borrowed funds in the amount of more than $4 billion. Potentially, the market has huge amounts of funds that can bring down the price to a new local low.

This image is no longer relevant

At the same time, the Fed made it clear that the current monetary policy is being maintained, which means there is no point in waiting for a weakening of access to liquidity. In such a situation, the only thing to count on is a local, phased capitulation of those investors who are ready to exit the crypto market. This scenario is the safest, but less feasible due to the huge number of fundamental factors that are ready to collapse the price. With this in mind, in a favorable situation, Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market are waiting for a gradual flat movement with local bursts of volatility. In the worst case, the market will update the local bottom, which will be detrimental to most crypto companies.

Artem Petrenko,
الخبير التحليلي لدى شركة إنستافوركس
© 2007-2024
كسب عائد من تغيرات أسعار العملات المشفرة مع إنستافوركس.
قم بتحميل منصة التداول ميتاتريدر 4 وافتح أول صفقة.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • إيداع الحظ
    قم بإيداع 3,000 دولار في حسابك واحصل على $8,000 وأكثر من ذالك!
    في مايو نحن نقدم باليانصيب $8,000 ضمن حملة إيداع الحظ!
    احصل على فرصة للفوز من خلال إيداع 3,000 دولار في حساب تداول. بعد أن استوفيت هذا الشرط، تصبح مشاركًا في الحملة.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • تداول بحكمة، اربح جهازا
    قم بتعبئة حسابك بمبلغ لا يقل عن 500 دولار ، واشترك في المسابقة ، واحصل على فرصة للفوز بأجهزة الجوال.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • بونص 100٪
    فرصتك الفريدة للحصول على بونص 100٪ على إيداعك
    احصل على بونص
  • بونص 55٪
    تقدم بطلب للحصول على بونص 55٪ على كل إيداع
    احصل على بونص
  • بونص 30٪
    احصل على بونص 30٪ في كل مرة تقوم فيها بتعبئة حسابك
    احصل على بونص

المقالات الموصى بها

لا تستطيع التحدث الآن؟
اطرح سؤالك في الدردشة.
Widget callback